Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2868.941234 3103.090282 3340.526621 3599.001805 3872.125369 4151.822249 4459.575001
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2474.079760 2820.432740 3185.040551 3596.243504 4045.846485 4521.275845 5060.775881
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2262.978487 2681.566220 3134.379695 3658.092573 4244.532802 4878.435934 5612.851252
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2050.494234 2513.820373 3027.053561 3633.596095 4326.585168 5089.468671 5988.495661
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1937.115880 2444.509986 3017.912053 3707.840594 4509.229116 5404.621543 6474.333287
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1812.375027 2350.647821 2970.499968 3728.868429 4623.226477 5636.059983 6861.083519
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1694.678866 2256.082505 2914.170933 3731.971936 4710.050738 5831.461779 7203.083002
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1533.672978 2098.895926 2773.963372 3626.567607 4661.098269 5862.263011 7348.164215
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1499.126385 2095.130928 2817.084662 3740.020135 4871.932494 6198.384639 7852.893538
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1449.059854 2068.105543 2828.572958 3812.424308 5031.738170 6473.522420 8286.308049
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1369.681184 1998.941219 2783.522949 3811.361482 5099.131864 6636.080027 8584.438871
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1284.164783 1917.240340 2718.541251 3781.555566 5127.909112 6749.609764 8822.057797
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1230.156919 1875.903560 2704.701990 3816.944166 5239.617529 6967.552755 9191.849202
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1163.693004 1814.626510 2662.372298 3813.762742 5301.589462 7124.135086 9487.660152
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1129.192674 1795.122047 2673.345909 3878.376915 5448.996683 7386.813424 9915.453847
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1062.657902 1727.658628 2617.469968 3852.786238 5478.763203 7501.244470 10158.870270
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1038.960999 1719.350070 2640.197077 3930.341272 5641.461568 7783.228271 10612.742781
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 996.918462 1682.591304 2622.365010 3952.303623 5730.913562 7972.352560 10950.776599
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 951.055689 1638.056615 2591.884861 3955.544942 5794.610952 8128.132163 11246.965821
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 870.447348 1538.293425 2480.750525 3845.443457 5705.169942 8084.904449 11288.273653
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 868.153311 1556.124167 2535.677334 3963.950383 5921.302970 8437.351331 11837.175925
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 852.572110 1552.792488 2559.819699 4039.559605 6080.168352 8716.452767 12293.807776
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 814.496024 1512.975713 2529.933791 4038.449845 6134.603238 8859.153686 12575.128416